Under Re-Verification (2026-04-23) — The 10-minute PO comparison column was produced by an ad-hoc variant not currently in the repo and is pending rebuild. The embedded 60-minute PO values on this page also predate the audit (e.g. High+Rising 77.7% should be 77.1%, n=372 should be 388) — refer to the Bilbo Golden Gate page for current 60m values. The directional conclusion (60m > 10m) is plausible but specific numbers are stale.

Study — Timeframe Comparison

The 60-minute PO is the
better Bilbo filter.
The 10-minute PO is noise.

Does the Phase Oscillator timeframe matter for predicting Golden Gate completion? We tested 10-minute vs 60-minute PO snapshots at the moment the 38.2% level is hit. The higher timeframe wins decisively.

Bullish Golden Gate — 38.2% → 61.8%

60-Minute PO

60m

High + Rising

77.7%

n=372

High + Falling

77.6%

n=107

Mid + Rising

63.3%

n=2256

Mid + Falling

51.5%

n=664

Baseline

63.0%

n=3411

10-Minute PO

10m

High + Rising

66.1%

n=985

High + Falling

39.0%

n=41

Mid + Rising

62.4%

n=1908

Mid + Falling

61.1%

n=475

Baseline

63.0%

n=3411

+14.7%vs+3.1%

Edge over baseline when PO is High + Rising (bullish)

Bearish Golden Gate — -38.2% → -61.8%

60-Minute PO

60m

Low + Falling

90.2%

n=265

Low + Rising

88.5%

n=96

Mid + Falling

64.0%

n=2203

Mid + Rising

54.2%

n=626

Baseline

65.0%

n=3200

10-Minute PO

10m

Low + Falling

67.1%

n=1072

Low + Rising

51.7%

n=60

Mid + Falling

63.0%

n=1683

Mid + Rising

69.4%

n=376

Baseline

65.0%

n=3199

+25.2%vs+2.1%

Edge over baseline when PO is Low + Falling (bearish)

Takeaway

The 60-minute Phase Oscillator is 5–12x more predictive than the 10-minute for Golden Gate completion. The 10m PO captures short-term noise — the bar-by-bar oscillator swings don't reflect the kind of sustained momentum needed to push price through the entire 38.2%–61.8% range. The 60m PO filters for genuine directional conviction.

This is consistent with how the indicators are designed. The Phase Oscillator measures how far price has deviated from its 21-period mean, normalized by ATR. On a 10-minute chart, “high” can mean a momentary spike. On a 60-minute chart, “high” means sustained buying pressure over multiple hours — exactly the condition that drives Golden Gate completions.